Four decisions · One book

Capital decisions,
sized against the bad year.

Every option carries its P50, P80 and P90 range,
the risks it shares, who signs it, and a record that replays.

Capital that keeps finding its best use.

Plants, capex rounds, ventures and recovery plans draw on the same money. Capibud allocates across all of them at once, with headroom you set and a reasoned record behind every move.

Dynamic budget allocation for capital-intensive enterprises.

One envelope, every project, re-balanced continuously. Capibud shows where the next rupee or dollar does the most, how confident you can be in it, and who needs to sign.

Put every rupee where it creates the most value.

Capibud ranks and paces your entire capital programme on one set of scenarios, shows the likely outcome and the bad-year outcome for each decision, and keeps a decision record you can stand behind.

Capibud is the capital committee above your systems of record, for the four decisions that commit capital to physical assets.

Request a Decision Sprint

Where capital is committed

Refining & Petrochemicals LNG Power & Nuclear Renewables & Storage Transmission Data Centres Mining & Metals Corporate Capex

Every option · Every scenario · Every approval

Capibud runs schedule, cost, value and shared risk on one set of correlated scenarios, sizes each commitment against the risk appetite you set, and routes it to the person who signs. Nothing changes the plan until a person approves it.

Every project · Every dollar · Every decision

Capibud holds your whole capital programme in one plan: schedule, cost and value, on one shared set of scenarios. It allocates the envelope to the projects that create the most value. It re-balances when something changes and shows the likely outcome next to the bad-year outcome, so commitments are sized to hold either way. Each proposal goes to the person who signs it, with the reasoning attached, and nothing changes the plan until they approve.

01Read the files

Read→Simulate→Size→Approve→Replay

What Capibud does, every day

Six capabilities on one plan: allocation that re-solves itself, files read as they are, the systems you already run, a brain that watches the market, projects built from a sentence, and the range behind every number.

01

Dynamic allocation

The envelope, always at its best.

Capibud solves your whole programme for the highest expected value within the headroom you set. It re-solves whenever a cost, schedule or price moves, then proposes what to bring forward, re-phase or hold, with the value of each move and the confidence behind it.

02

Self-learning ingestion and ontology

Reads your files the way your team does.

Schedules, cost sheets, ledgers, registers and status reports arrive in any layout. Capibud classifies columns by meaning and turns narrative into typed facts, and every figure links back to the line it came from. Each correction teaches it your vocabulary, so the next file needs less help.

03

Connectors

Sits above the systems you already run.

Capibud works with what Primavera P6, Microsoft Project and your ERP export today (XER, XML, Excel and CSV); native connectors are rolling out. Proposals can notify Slack, Teams or e-mail once you switch those channels on, and they never send without your configuration.

04

The always-on brain

Watches the world so your team doesn't have to.

Price prints, filings, supplier news and progress updates flow in continuously. When something moves, Capibud traces which projects it touches, prices the impact across the portfolio and drafts a re-allocation, then waits for a person.

05

Natural-language and voice project builder

Describe the project; Capibud builds the model.

Say or type "a 2 GW solar park in Rajasthan, EPC by Q3 2028", and Capibud assembles the schedule, cost lines and value drivers from the matching industry pack. Your team adjusts it in plain language and it joins the plan in minutes.

06

Portfolio outcome analytics

See the range, not just the number.

Every project and the whole portfolio show the bad year, the likely year and the good year: for value, P10, P50 and P90; for cost, P90 is the bad year. Your committee sees how confident to be before it commits, and whether the plan still holds when several things go wrong together.

Questions

Three questions decide whether a capital plan survives the year. Capibud answers all three on the same book, in the same run.

Which options deserve capital?

Rank by value for the risk taken, with the P80 doing the talking instead of the P50.

OptionDecisionP50 value(NPV $M)Bad-year signal(P80 overrun)Verdict
Polypropylene unitEvaluate$412M6%Fund
Grid substationCapex$96M9%Fund
Offshore wind stakeInvest$58M17%Stage
Crude unit revampExecute$21M31%Defer

Illustrative figures, not client data.

How much should each one get?

Size every commitment in dollars, inside the envelope you actually have.

Envelope: $600M
Polypropylene unit$264M44%
Grid substation$96M16%
Offshore wind stake$72M12%
Crude unit revamp$38M6%
Reserve$130M22%
Scale0$150M$300M$450M$600M

What happens in the bad year?

Stress the whole book and read the chance of breaching your risk appetite before you commit.

Probability of breaching risk appetite
Recommended plan4.1% Current plan11.6%
4.1%
0%2%5%10%15%20%+

Appetite ≤ 5% · Bad-year shortfall (P90 of shortfall): $118M

What changed, and what should move?

Every forecast carries the band the committee agreed to. Capibud checks actuals against it every day. When a line leaves the band, it flags the move, traces the projects it touches and drafts the re-allocation, with the value of acting now beside it.

Illustrative example, figures invented. The band is the P10–P90 range agreed at approval.

Products

The engines behind the committee

Capital committee

The capital decision journey

How Capibud carries a book of options from the files your teams already produce to an approved decision that replays.

Explore the committee

    The brain

    Watch a signal move
    through the book

    Capibud's monitoring layer reads a market move, finds every exposed project and prices the effect, then waits for a person. Double-click any node to see what is at risk and why.

    Explore the brain

    Decision record

    Decisions you can replay, years later

    What the committee knew, what it chose and why, stored with the run it relied on. When someone asks why a project was funded, the answer is one click away.

    Explore the record

    Every claim on the envelope,
    sized and stress-tested in one book.

    Capital used

    $520M

    Value after hurdles

    $1,180M

    Bad-year value

    $815M

    Stress scenario

    Capital claims 4 rows · click to inspect
    ClaimDecisionBudgetP50 returnBad year(P10 return)Verdict

    Illustrative figures, not client data.

    Decision readout

    ← Polypropylene unit

    0

    Decision score

    Fund

    Outcome band (P10 → P90): →

    Confidence0%

    Four decisions, one book

    Which plants to build, which assets to back, how to recover projects in construction and which capex lines to fund this year. They draw on the same money and the same risks, so Capibud runs them on one set of scenarios.

    Evaluate

    P10, P50 and P80 capex, schedule and NPV for each option, and the value of waiting, staging or walking away.

    Invest

    Ticket sizes and reserves inside concentration limits, with strategic value split from the financial return.

    Execute

    P80 cost and finish for every unit, updated from actuals, with recovery options priced before you commit.

    Capex

    A plan for 100+ small projects that fits the envelope, crew capacity and turnaround windows.

    Completion forecast · Polypropylene unit P80 finish: Nov 2029 Plan Mar 2029 · P50 Jun 2029 · 4,000 correlated scenarios P80 · NOV 2029 20262027202820292030

    Built for the committee, not the spreadsheet

    You don't have to take a recommendation on faith. Every number traces back to a file, a parameter or a run, and every run replays to the same result.

    Ranges, not points.

    Every option is priced as a P50, P80 and P90 range for cost, schedule and value, never a single number dressed up as certainty.

    Shared risks, modelled as shared.

    One supplier, one EPC crew or the copper price hits every exposed project in the same scenario, so concentration shows up before it bites.

    One envelope, not ranked lists.

    Every candidate from the four decisions is placed on one envelope and one risk appetite, instead of each budget holder funding down their own list.

    Single-point plans Risks treated as independent Ranked lists, not sized bets Numbers nobody can replay
    Scenario distribution · book value 4,000 correlated scenarios · illustrative $0.6bn$1.4bn$2.2bn
    P50 · P80 · P90 ranges Correlated scenarios Sized against your appetite Every run replays

    Stress-tested by default.

    Alternatives, stress tests and reverse stress tests (the smallest shock that breaks the plan) sit beside every recommended plan.

    Approval before any change.

    Changes are previewed, routed by your delegation-of-authority matrix with maker-checker rules, and can be undone.

    Audit-ready.

    An append-only, hash-chained log stores each run's inputs, seed and engine version. OCR runs locally, so documents stay on your server.

    What the evidence shows

    Megaproject replay on public information. Completed megaprojects replayed quarter by quarter, using only what was public at each date, then scored against how they actually finished.

    QuarterlyPoint-in-time data TestedNo look-ahead MissesShown, not hidden

    The replay and its results are shown in a guided walkthrough after sign-in.

    How a replay works

    A backtest built to break us. Our P80 against single-point forecasts on 210 projects, then on four generators that violate our assumptions.

    77%P80 cost held 84%P80 finish held 29%Single-point

    Target 80%. Under our own generator; the four adversarial generators are scored too.

    How we measured

    Why large programmes overrun. Single forecasts, risks treated as independent, money allocated pot by pot. The pattern holds across countries and sectors.

    91.5%Over budget or late 0.5%On cost, time & benefit

    Flyvbjerg's database of 16,000+ projects in 136 countries.

    Industry briefs

    Start from researched ground. Every project opens from an industry pack: sourced parameters, price feeds, the factors that usually move value, and a project template, pinned to the decision.

    37Industry packs 662Sourced parameters 651Cited sources

    Every number links to its source, or says plainly that it is an estimate.

    Industry briefs

    Wherever capital is committed

    37 researched industry packs, each with sourced parameters, price feeds, risk archetypes and project templates. Browse every industry brief →

    Three steps from files to decision

    1UploadPoint Capibud at the schedules, budgets, memos and options already on the table. No templates, no re-keying.
    2SimulateThe engine ranges every estimate, links the risks projects share, and sizes the book against your risk appetite.
    3DecideWalk into committee with sized recommendations, the shock that would break the plan, and a record that replays.

    The fastest way to evaluate Capibud is to point it at a decision you are making this quarter.

    Bring us one real decision.

    One working session on a decision you are making this quarter.

    Write to hi@capibud.com
    Talk to us →